**The race for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest remains tightly contested, with recent polls showing Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos) statistically tied behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL).** September surveys, including Veritá (conducted Sept. 7–12) and Paraná Pesquisas, place Gomes well ahead in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions (around 36–43%), while the second slot sees Guimarães near 24–25%, Gaguim 19–23%, and Borges around 15–20%, all within margins of error amid 30–39% undecided or blank responses. High voter volatility—over half say their choice remains open weeks before the October 4 election—combined with the dual-vote system sustains the close probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Earlier summer polls showed similar fragmentation without decisive shifts, underscoring how late swings or turnout among key blocs could separate the contenders for the remaining seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlexandre Guimarães 43%
Gaguim 41.1%
Eduardo Gomes 12.2%
Osvany Luz <1%
$35,301 Wol.
$35,301 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
43%
Gaguim
41%
Eduardo Gomes
18%
Osvany Luz
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Paulo Mourão
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 43%
Gaguim 41.1%
Eduardo Gomes 12.2%
Osvany Luz <1%
$35,301 Wol.
$35,301 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$16,709 Wol.
43%
Gaguim
$8,957 Wol.
41%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,490 Wol.
18%
Osvany Luz
$465 Wol.
1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$385 Wol.
1%
Eli Borges
$528 Wol.
1%
Paulo Mourão
$4,488 Wol.
1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$437 Wol.
1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$395 Wol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$391 Wol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$345 Wol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$392 Wol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$319 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The race for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest remains tightly contested, with recent polls showing Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos) statistically tied behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL).** September surveys, including Veritá (conducted Sept. 7–12) and Paraná Pesquisas, place Gomes well ahead in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions (around 36–43%), while the second slot sees Guimarães near 24–25%, Gaguim 19–23%, and Borges around 15–20%, all within margins of error amid 30–39% undecided or blank responses. High voter volatility—over half say their choice remains open weeks before the October 4 election—combined with the dual-vote system sustains the close probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Earlier summer polls showed similar fragmentation without decisive shifts, underscoring how late swings or turnout among key blocs could separate the contenders for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Wolumen
$35,301Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The race for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest remains tightly contested, with recent polls showing Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos) statistically tied behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL).** September surveys, including Veritá (conducted Sept. 7–12) and Paraná Pesquisas, place Gomes well ahead in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions (around 36–43%), while the second slot sees Guimarães near 24–25%, Gaguim 19–23%, and Borges around 15–20%, all within margins of error amid 30–39% undecided or blank responses. High voter volatility—over half say their choice remains open weeks before the October 4 election—combined with the dual-vote system sustains the close probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Earlier summer polls showed similar fragmentation without decisive shifts, underscoring how late swings or turnout among key blocs could separate the contenders for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$35,301Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**The race for second place in Tocantins' two-seat Senate contest remains tightly contested, with recent polls showing Alexandre Guimarães (MDB), Gaguim (União), and Eli Borges (Republicanos) statistically tied behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL).** September surveys, including Veritá (conducted Sept. 7–12) and Paraná Pesquisas, place Gomes well ahead in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions (around 36–43%), while the second slot sees Guimarães near 24–25%, Gaguim 19–23%, and Borges around 15–20%, all within margins of error amid 30–39% undecided or blank responses. High voter volatility—over half say their choice remains open weeks before the October 4 election—combined with the dual-vote system sustains the close probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Earlier summer polls showed similar fragmentation without decisive shifts, underscoring how late swings or turnout among key blocs could separate the contenders for the remaining seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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