Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
70%
Jonathan Nez (D)
29%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Eli Crane (R)
$2,134 Wol.
70%
Jonathan Nez (D)
$1,474 Wol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,608Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$3,608Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Eli Crane holds the edge in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the November 2026 general election. The rural, northeastern district carries an R+7 partisan voting index and delivered Crane a nine-point victory over the same Democratic opponent in 2024. Recent August polling shows Crane ahead by margins ranging from two to eleven points, while both candidates cleared their July primaries without opposition. Crane maintains a clear fundraising lead and benefits from the district’s Republican tilt, though national midterm dynamics and Democratic spending could influence turnout. A scheduled September debate proceeded without Crane’s participation. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the incumbent.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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