**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing the daily maximum reaching but not exceeding that threshold.** Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds (around 15–25 km/h with gusts), and limited solar heating under mostly overcast skies prevented significant afternoon warming. Official forecasts from sources tracking Paris (e.g., Météo-France-aligned reports) consistently projected a range of 18–23°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average high of ~23.8°C for the date and recent similar patterns. Measurements from stations like Paris–Le Bourget and urban sites confirmed peaks near 23°C (73–74°F) during the afternoon before cooling into the evening. This outcome carries high confidence because multiple independent models converged on the same cap, with no strong warm advection or clearing skies to drive further rises. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations (e.g., urban heat island effects at certain sites), late-day model revisions if unexpected insolation occurred, or resolution criteria tied to a precise official measurement that could differ by 1°C. However, the overwhelming data alignment makes such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 31?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 31?
23°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,048 Wol.
$84,048 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
23°C
100%
26°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
23°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
28°C <1%
$84,048 Wol.
$84,048 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
23°C
$23,549 Wol.
100%
26°C
$3,363 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,312 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing the daily maximum reaching but not exceeding that threshold.**
Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds (around 15–25 km/h with gusts), and limited solar heating under mostly overcast skies prevented significant afternoon warming. Official forecasts from sources tracking Paris (e.g., Météo-France-aligned reports) consistently projected a range of 18–23°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average high of ~23.8°C for the date and recent similar patterns. Measurements from stations like Paris–Le Bourget and urban sites confirmed peaks near 23°C (73–74°F) during the afternoon before cooling into the evening.
This outcome carries high confidence because multiple independent models converged on the same cap, with no strong warm advection or clearing skies to drive further rises. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations (e.g., urban heat island effects at certain sites), late-day model revisions if unexpected insolation occurred, or resolution criteria tied to a precise official measurement that could differ by 1°C. However, the overwhelming data alignment makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$84,048Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing the daily maximum reaching but not exceeding that threshold.**
Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds (around 15–25 km/h with gusts), and limited solar heating under mostly overcast skies prevented significant afternoon warming. Official forecasts from sources tracking Paris (e.g., Météo-France-aligned reports) consistently projected a range of 18–23°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average high of ~23.8°C for the date and recent similar patterns. Measurements from stations like Paris–Le Bourget and urban sites confirmed peaks near 23°C (73–74°F) during the afternoon before cooling into the evening.
This outcome carries high confidence because multiple independent models converged on the same cap, with no strong warm advection or clearing skies to drive further rises. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations (e.g., urban heat island effects at certain sites), late-day model revisions if unexpected insolation occurred, or resolution criteria tied to a precise official measurement that could differ by 1°C. However, the overwhelming data alignment makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$84,048Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C high on August 31, 2026, reflects real-time meteorological observations and model consensus showing the daily maximum reaching but not exceeding that threshold.** Persistent cloud cover, moderate westerly winds (around 15–25 km/h with gusts), and limited solar heating under mostly overcast skies prevented significant afternoon warming. Official forecasts from sources tracking Paris (e.g., Météo-France-aligned reports) consistently projected a range of 18–23°C, aligning with the long-term climatological average high of ~23.8°C for the date and recent similar patterns. Measurements from stations like Paris–Le Bourget and urban sites confirmed peaks near 23°C (73–74°F) during the afternoon before cooling into the evening. This outcome carries high confidence because multiple independent models converged on the same cap, with no strong warm advection or clearing skies to drive further rises. Realistic challenges include minor station-specific variations (e.g., urban heat island effects at certain sites), late-day model revisions if unexpected insolation occurred, or resolution criteria tied to a precise official measurement that could differ by 1°C. However, the overwhelming data alignment makes such shifts improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania