**Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports through August 25 show 89 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, placing the month on pace with the long-term August climatological average of roughly 80–94.** Recent localized outbreaks, including four tornadoes across the Delmarva region on August 20 and multiple events in Ohio mid-month, have contributed modestly without pushing totals into outlier territory. Late-month conditions have remained typical for the post-peak season, with limited large-scale severe weather setups. As final National Weather Service surveys and the complete SPC tally are finalized ahead of the September 1 resolution, trader consensus strongly favors the 80–99 bin at 83% implied probability, reflecting alignment with historical norms rather than any anomalous atmospheric drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?
80-99 83%
100–119 21%
60-79 1.8%
170–199 <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
<40
<1%
40–59
<1%
60-79
2%
80-99
83%
100–119
21%
120–139
<1%
140-169
<1%
170–199
1%
200+
<1%
80-99 83%
100–119 21%
60-79 1.8%
170–199 <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
<40
$402 Wol.
<1%
40–59
$656 Wol.
<1%
60-79
$2,188 Wol.
2%
80-99
$4,032 Wol.
83%
100–119
$1,057 Wol.
21%
120–139
$242 Wol.
<1%
140-169
$388 Wol.
<1%
170–199
$403 Wol.
1%
200+
$458 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.**Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports through August 25 show 89 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, placing the month on pace with the long-term August climatological average of roughly 80–94.** Recent localized outbreaks, including four tornadoes across the Delmarva region on August 20 and multiple events in Ohio mid-month, have contributed modestly without pushing totals into outlier territory. Late-month conditions have remained typical for the post-peak season, with limited large-scale severe weather setups. As final National Weather Service surveys and the complete SPC tally are finalized ahead of the September 1 resolution, trader consensus strongly favors the 80–99 bin at 83% implied probability, reflecting alignment with historical norms rather than any anomalous atmospheric drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,826Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.**Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports through August 25 show 89 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, placing the month on pace with the long-term August climatological average of roughly 80–94.** Recent localized outbreaks, including four tornadoes across the Delmarva region on August 20 and multiple events in Ohio mid-month, have contributed modestly without pushing totals into outlier territory. Late-month conditions have remained typical for the post-peak season, with limited large-scale severe weather setups. As final National Weather Service surveys and the complete SPC tally are finalized ahead of the September 1 resolution, trader consensus strongly favors the 80–99 bin at 83% implied probability, reflecting alignment with historical norms rather than any anomalous atmospheric drivers.
This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Only tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.
As of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on September 9, 2026, at 5:01 PM GMT+1 or 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.
If the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.
The market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.
If no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication ET, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.
Wolumen
$9,826Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 28, 2026, 1:44 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Preliminary Storm Prediction Center reports through August 25 show 89 confirmed U.S. tornadoes, placing the month on pace with the long-term August climatological average of roughly 80–94.** Recent localized outbreaks, including four tornadoes across the Delmarva region on August 20 and multiple events in Ohio mid-month, have contributed modestly without pushing totals into outlier territory. Late-month conditions have remained typical for the post-peak season, with limited large-scale severe weather setups. As final National Weather Service surveys and the complete SPC tally are finalized ahead of the September 1 resolution, trader consensus strongly favors the 80–99 bin at 83% implied probability, reflecting alignment with historical norms rather than any anomalous atmospheric drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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