Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 5th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against three challengers, while Republican Tommy Hanson won his party’s primary with about 72%. The North Side Chicago and suburban district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Forecasters cite the district’s consistent partisan composition, Quigley’s long incumbency since 2009, and limited Republican infrastructure as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. Quigley’s separate 2027 Chicago mayoral campaign has not altered his congressional candidacy ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as candidate withdrawal or a significant national realignment affecting local turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
$25,272 Wol.
$25,272 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
5%
$25,272 Wol.
$25,272 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
$8,976 Wol.
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
$16,296 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 5th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against three challengers, while Republican Tommy Hanson won his party’s primary with about 72%. The North Side Chicago and suburban district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Forecasters cite the district’s consistent partisan composition, Quigley’s long incumbency since 2009, and limited Republican infrastructure as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. Quigley’s separate 2027 Chicago mayoral campaign has not altered his congressional candidacy ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as candidate withdrawal or a significant national realignment affecting local turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,272Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 5th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against three challengers, while Republican Tommy Hanson won his party’s primary with about 72%. The North Side Chicago and suburban district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Forecasters cite the district’s consistent partisan composition, Quigley’s long incumbency since 2009, and limited Republican infrastructure as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. Quigley’s separate 2027 Chicago mayoral campaign has not altered his congressional candidacy ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as candidate withdrawal or a significant national realignment affecting local turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,272Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’ 5th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65% of the vote against three challengers, while Republican Tommy Hanson won his party’s primary with about 72%. The North Side Chicago and suburban district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and delivered Quigley a 38-point margin in 2024, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Forecasters cite the district’s consistent partisan composition, Quigley’s long incumbency since 2009, and limited Republican infrastructure as primary drivers of the current trader consensus. Quigley’s separate 2027 Chicago mayoral campaign has not altered his congressional candidacy ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift in odds would require major unforeseen developments, such as candidate withdrawal or a significant national realignment affecting local turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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