Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRoseana Sarney 59%
Lahesio Bonfim 21.6%
Weverton Rocha 11.5%
Fufuca 6.9%
$22,361 Wol.
$22,361 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
59%
Lahesio Bonfim
22%
Weverton Rocha
12%
Fufuca
7%
Eliziane Gama
1%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Roseana Sarney 59%
Lahesio Bonfim 21.6%
Weverton Rocha 11.5%
Fufuca 6.9%
$22,361 Wol.
$22,361 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Roseana Sarney
$15,315 Wol.
59%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,069 Wol.
22%
Weverton Rocha
$2,137 Wol.
12%
Fufuca
$474 Wol.
7%
Eliziane Gama
$361 Wol.
1%
Wilson Leite
$355 Wol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$358 Wol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$379 Wol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$333 Wol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$248 Wol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$333 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,361Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$22,361Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Roseana Sarney (MDB) leading numerically for one of Maranhão’s two Senate seats with 16% support, ahead of Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, and André Fufuca (PP) and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% each, though all remain within the 3-point margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. The fragmented field, overlapping alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, and voters’ ability to select two candidates sustain tight competition for first place. Trader consensus reflected in current prices assigns Sarney the highest implied probability while pricing challengers lower, consistent with her name recognition and modest polling edge. Late-campaign events, alliance consolidations, or shifts among undecided voters before the October 4 vote could widen or close gaps.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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