The tight trader consensus in Michigan’s 4th congressional district reflects a Lean Republican to Tossup race rating from most forecasters, with limited public polling showing small margins between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democrat Sean McCann. McCann’s strong fundraising edge and national Democratic support have narrowed the gap from Huizenga’s prior double-digit victory, while recent independent ads highlighting Huizenga’s stock-trading vote and past holdings have kept ethics issues in play ahead of the November general election. Incumbency and the district’s Republican lean provide Huizenga a baseline advantage, but shifts in voter sentiment and outside spending could widen or close the implied probabilities before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
53%
Sean McCann (D)
49%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Bill Huizenga (R)
$3,439 Wol.
53%
Sean McCann (D)
$5,105 Wol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight trader consensus in Michigan’s 4th congressional district reflects a Lean Republican to Tossup race rating from most forecasters, with limited public polling showing small margins between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democrat Sean McCann. McCann’s strong fundraising edge and national Democratic support have narrowed the gap from Huizenga’s prior double-digit victory, while recent independent ads highlighting Huizenga’s stock-trading vote and past holdings have kept ethics issues in play ahead of the November general election. Incumbency and the district’s Republican lean provide Huizenga a baseline advantage, but shifts in voter sentiment and outside spending could widen or close the implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,544Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The tight trader consensus in Michigan’s 4th congressional district reflects a Lean Republican to Tossup race rating from most forecasters, with limited public polling showing small margins between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democrat Sean McCann. McCann’s strong fundraising edge and national Democratic support have narrowed the gap from Huizenga’s prior double-digit victory, while recent independent ads highlighting Huizenga’s stock-trading vote and past holdings have kept ethics issues in play ahead of the November general election. Incumbency and the district’s Republican lean provide Huizenga a baseline advantage, but shifts in voter sentiment and outside spending could widen or close the implied probabilities before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$8,544Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The tight trader consensus in Michigan’s 4th congressional district reflects a Lean Republican to Tossup race rating from most forecasters, with limited public polling showing small margins between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democrat Sean McCann. McCann’s strong fundraising edge and national Democratic support have narrowed the gap from Huizenga’s prior double-digit victory, while recent independent ads highlighting Huizenga’s stock-trading vote and past holdings have kept ethics issues in play ahead of the November general election. Incumbency and the district’s Republican lean provide Huizenga a baseline advantage, but shifts in voter sentiment and outside spending could widen or close the implied probabilities before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania