Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest, consistent with multiple recent polls showing him at 50-73% of voting intentions against main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 16-21% and all others below 2%. High approval ratings for his administration, ranging from 62-72% across surveys, reflect positive voter assessments of his record on education expansion and other state priorities. Official party conventions and allied support have further consolidated his position ahead of the vote. Trader consensus at 98.5% aligns with this sustained polling dominance and incumbency advantages in the state. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts in the final weeks remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the margin before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRafael Fonteles 98.4%
Elizeu Aguiar <1%
Geraldo Carvalho <1%
Gustavo Feijó <1%
$52,732 Wol.
$52,732 Wol.
Rafael Fonteles
98%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Professor Gisvaldo
<1%
Professor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
Rafael Fonteles 98.4%
Elizeu Aguiar <1%
Geraldo Carvalho <1%
Gustavo Feijó <1%
$52,732 Wol.
$52,732 Wol.
Rafael Fonteles
98%
Elizeu Aguiar
<1%
Geraldo Carvalho
<1%
Gustavo Feijó
<1%
Joel Rodrigues
<1%
Lourdes Melo
<1%
Professor Gisvaldo
<1%
Professor Jurity
<1%
Ravenna da Inclusão
<1%
Santiago Belizário
<1%
Dra. Lúcia Santos
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent governor of Piauí seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest, consistent with multiple recent polls showing him at 50-73% of voting intentions against main challenger Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 16-21% and all others below 2%. High approval ratings for his administration, ranging from 62-72% across surveys, reflect positive voter assessments of his record on education expansion and other state priorities. Official party conventions and allied support have further consolidated his position ahead of the vote. Trader consensus at 98.5% aligns with this sustained polling dominance and incumbency advantages in the state. Late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp turnout shifts in the final weeks remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the margin before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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