The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNicoletti 47.4%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,624 Wol.
$62,624 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
47%
Teresa Surita
26%
Helena da Asatur
19%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
3%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 47.4%
Teresa Surita 26%
Helena da Asatur 19.1%
Chico Rodrigues 3.3%
$62,624 Wol.
$62,624 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$11,204 Wol.
47%
Teresa Surita
$18,485 Wol.
26%
Helena da Asatur
$4,672 Wol.
19%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,612 Wol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,065 Wol.
3%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Wol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$810 Wol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Wol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Wol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Wol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Wol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Wol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Wol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$62,624Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$62,624Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for second place in Roraima’s October 4 Senate election reflects the clustered polling among the leading contenders. A late-August Quaest survey showed Teresa Surita (MDB) at 19%, Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16% in combined first- and second-choice voting, all within the margin of error, while Chico Rodrigues (PSB) trailed at 11% and spontaneous recognition left 67% undecided. With voters casting two ballots for the two available seats and a fragmented field of 13 candidates, modest shifts in turnout, consolidation of undecided voters, or last-minute alliances can readily reorder the second-place finish. Trader pricing mirrors this uncertainty, with Nicoletti holding the highest implied probability for second among the top trio.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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