Bill Gates predictions & odds

Tech·Bill Gates

Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?

$2.2K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2.2K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

3rd richest person on December 31?

$24.6K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

38%

Mark Zuckerberg

$24.6K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Bill Gates

Will Phoebe Gates be arrested by September 30?

$198 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

$198 Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Tech·Big Tech

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

$2M Vol.

$206K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

95%

Elon Musk

$2M Vol.

$206K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

2nd richest person on December 31?

$46.1K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

48%

Larry Page

$46.1K Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Equities

Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?

$3.5K Vol.

$281K Liq.

100%

$3.5K Vol.

$281K Liq.

Finance·Equities

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of August 31 2026?

$9.6K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

82%

↓ $495

$9.6K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Tech·AI

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$712K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$712K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by June 30?

$62.0K Vol.

$99.9K Liq.

100%

↑$155B

$62.0K Vol.

$99.9K Liq.

Tech·AI

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

$128K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

81%

↑$200B

$128K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

$7.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$7.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Equities

What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in September 2026?

$2.6K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

74%

↑ $510

$2.6K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Tech·Big Tech

Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?

$5.9K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

49%

$900B-$1.00T

$5.9K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Culture·Video Games

Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by December 31?

$66.9K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

44%

↓$11.5B

$66.9K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Finance·Equities

Microsoft (MSFT) closes week of Aug 31 at ___?

$26 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

36%

$490-$500

$26 Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Elections·Referendums

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

$4M Vol.

$50.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

30%

$4M Vol.

$50.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Finance·Equities

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of August 31 above___?

$937 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

96%

$450

$937 Vol.

$6.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Finance·Databricks

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by September 30?

$3.9K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

73%

↑$195B

$3.9K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Finance

Will Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?

$7.1K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

63%

↓$12.25B

$7.1K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Finance

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

$73.3K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

41%

↑$650B

$73.3K Vol.

$19.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Bill Gates.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Bill Gates that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Richest person on December 31, 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Bill Gates predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Bill Gates shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Richest person on December 31, 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Bill Gates prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Bill Gates prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Bill Gates predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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How do Bill Gates markets work on Polymarket?

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Why use Polymarket for Bill Gates predictions?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Bill Gates prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Bill Gates markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Bill Gates prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Bill Gates predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Bill Gates odds?

Can I track Bill Gates predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Bill Gates markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Bill Gates predictions & odds