California Primary predictions & odds

Elections·Mayoral Elections

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

$14M Vol.

$182K Liq.

156

Ends in 4 months

65%

Karen Bass

$14M Vol.

$182K Liq.

156

Ends in 4 months

Elections·California

California voter ID referendum passes?

$9.0K Vol.

$484 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

40%

$9.0K Vol.

$484 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series

$25.5K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

96%

Noah Wyle – “The Pitt”

$25.5K Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series

$38.6K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

92%

Jean Smart – “Hacks”

$38.6K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Elections·California

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

$20 Vol.

$804 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

48%

$20 Vol.

$804 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series

$26.1K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

94%

“The Pitt”

$26.1K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

$61.5K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

72%

Oscar Isaac – “Beef”

$61.5K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Elections·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

45%

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Culture·Awards

Which streaming service will win the most Emmys?

$76.1K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

76%

HBO Max

$76.1K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Elections·Referendums

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

$4M Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

29%

$4M Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

$41M Vol.

$6M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

96%

Xavier Becerra

$41M Vol.

$6M Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a comedy series

$33.3K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

69%

Kate O’Flynn – “Widow’s Bay”

$33.3K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Culture·Awards

How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?

$135K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

99%

0-1

$135K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Elections·Midterms

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

$2.9K Vol.

$768 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

69%

Steve Hilton

$2.9K Vol.

$768 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series

$110K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

74%

“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”

$110K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a drama series

$25.5K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

77%

Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”

$25.5K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Elections·Midterms

California Governor Election: Turnout

$592 Vol.

$416 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

46%

<10.5M

$592 Vol.

$416 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Culture·Awards

Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series

$32.0K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

90%

“The Traitors”

$32.0K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Culture·Awards

How many Emmys will “Pluribus” win?

$33.1K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

56%

2-3

$33.1K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Elections·Margin Of Victory

California Governor Election Margin of Victory

$376 Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

32%

Becerra 35-40%

$376 Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

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Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like California Primary.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for California Primary that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Los Angeles Mayoral Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “California voter ID referendum passes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “California Governor Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “California Governor Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 96% chance to Xavier Becerra. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on California Primary predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for California Primary shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “California Governor Election Winner” without ever needing to place a trade.

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California Primary predictions & odds

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of California Primary prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do California Primary markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top California Primary prediction?

Why use Polymarket for California Primary predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s California Primary odds?

Can I track California Primary predictions without trading?

How do I get started with California Primary markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

California Primary predictions & odds