US predictions & odds

Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

$26M Vol.

$973K today

$920K Liq.

100%

Alexander Zverev

$26M Vol.

$973K today

$920K Liq.

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru

$0 Vol.

$372 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

48%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$372 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Elections·Global Elections

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$2M Vol.

$101K today

$583K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

67%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$101K today

$583K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Weather·Aliens

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$67M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,687

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$67M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,687

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$596 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

49%

United States

$0 Vol.

$596 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$28M Vol.

$174K today

$512K Liq.

587

Ends in 4 months

60%

December 31

$28M Vol.

$174K today

$512K Liq.

587

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$11M Vol.

$280K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

59%

March 31, 2027

$11M Vol.

$280K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Politics·Trump

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$11M Vol.

$53.7K today

$95.6K Liq.

271

Ends in 4 months

$11M Vol.

$53.7K today

$95.6K Liq.

271

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$658K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

92%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$658K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Politics·Acquire

Will Alberta join the US?

$2M Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2M Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$558K Vol.

$321K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

37%

Steve Witkoff

$558K Vol.

$321K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$18M Vol.

$515K Liq.

160

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$515K Liq.

160

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$526K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$526K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ceasefire

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$2M Vol.

$148K today

$146K Liq.

152

Ends in 17 days

93%

September 30

$2M Vol.

$148K today

$146K Liq.

152

Ends in 17 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$29M Vol.

$154K Liq.

194

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$29M Vol.

$154K Liq.

194

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru - Exact Score

$0 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

September 30

$1M Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Sports·Games

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sambenedettese - More Markets

$23.2K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

<1%

US Sambenedettese

$23.2K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru - Total Corners

$0 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

50%

Over

$0 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$874K Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$874K Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US.

Polymarket currently hosts 1283 active markets for US that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $205.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Alberta join the US? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 4% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for US shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the US prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis),” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

US Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the US prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

US predictions & odds

Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

$26M Vol.

$973K today

$920K Liq.

100%

Alexander Zverev

$26M Vol.

$973K today

$920K Liq.

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru

$0 Vol.

$372 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

48%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$372 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Elections·Global Elections

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

$2M Vol.

$101K today

$583K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

67%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$101K today

$583K Liq.

Ends in about 2 years

Weather·Aliens

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$67M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,687

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$67M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,687

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru - More Markets

$0 Vol.

$596 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

49%

United States

$0 Vol.

$596 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$28M Vol.

$174K today

$512K Liq.

587

Ends in 4 months

60%

December 31

$28M Vol.

$174K today

$512K Liq.

587

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

$11M Vol.

$280K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

59%

March 31, 2027

$11M Vol.

$280K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Politics·Trump

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$11M Vol.

$53.7K today

$95.6K Liq.

271

Ends in 4 months

$11M Vol.

$53.7K today

$95.6K Liq.

271

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$658K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

92%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$658K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Politics·Acquire

Will Alberta join the US?

$2M Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2M Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

$558K Vol.

$321K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

37%

Steve Witkoff

$558K Vol.

$321K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

$18M Vol.

$515K Liq.

160

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$515K Liq.

160

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$526K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$526K Vol.

$21.2K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ceasefire

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

$2M Vol.

$148K today

$146K Liq.

152

Ends in 17 days

93%

September 30

$2M Vol.

$148K today

$146K Liq.

152

Ends in 17 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$29M Vol.

$154K Liq.

194

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$29M Vol.

$154K Liq.

194

Ends in 4 months

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru - Exact Score

$0 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

49%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$216 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

$1M Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

September 30

$1M Vol.

$67.0K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Sports·Games

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sambenedettese - More Markets

$23.2K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

<1%

US Sambenedettese

$23.2K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Sports·Fifa Friendly

United States vs. Peru - Total Corners

$0 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

50%

Over

$0 Vol.

$191 Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$874K Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$874K Vol.

$246K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

US predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of US prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do US markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top US prediction?

Why use Polymarket for US predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s US odds?

Can I track US predictions without trading?

How do I get started with US markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of US prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do US markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top US prediction?

Why use Polymarket for US predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s US odds?

Can I track US predictions without trading?

How do I get started with US markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

US predictions & odds