Weather & Science predictions & odds

Weather·Global Temp

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3M Vol.

$145K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

77%

$3M Vol.

$145K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Astroid

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$243K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

22%

$243K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Climate

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

$16.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

62%

Over 2.5

$16.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Weather·Climate

Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

$15.6K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

58%

Florida

$15.6K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?

$2.2K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

45%

23°C

$2.2K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Climate

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in August?

$3.8K Vol.

$669 Liq.

100%

≥100 mph

$3.8K Vol.

$669 Liq.

Weather·Climate

Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

$7.4K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

92%

$7.4K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Weather·Climate

Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in September?

$0 Vol.

$39 Liq.

Ends in 29 days

97%

≥80 mph

$0 Vol.

$39 Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Weather·Weather & Science

Peak wind gust in the world's windiest city in September

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in 29 days

50%

89 km/h or below

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Weather·Daily Temperature

Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?

$6.1K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

48%

23°C

$6.1K Vol.

$12.4K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Weather·Measles

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

100%

↑3k

$8M Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Natural Disasters

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$815K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$815K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Climate

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$341K Vol.

$934 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

15%

$341K Vol.

$934 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Climate

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

$22.5K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

36%

Fay

$22.5K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Weather·Precipitation

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

$3.4K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

56%

<275mm

$3.4K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Weather

Where will it rain on September 1?

$3.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

100%

Boston, MA

$3.2K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

Weather·Natural Disasters

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

$16.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

41%

October 1 - 31, 2026

$16.7K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Weather·Pandemics

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

$7.8K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

40%

20 to 34

$7.8K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Weather·Daily Temperature

Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 3?

$35 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

44%

19°C or higher

$35 Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Weather·Natural Disasters

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$313K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$313K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Weather & Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Weather & Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $13.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to ↑3k. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Weather & Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Weather & Science shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Weather & Science prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Weather & Science prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Weather & Science predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Weather & Science prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Weather & Science markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Weather & Science prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Weather & Science predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Weather & Science odds?

Can I track Weather & Science predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Weather & Science markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Weather & Science prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Weather & Science markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Weather & Science prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Weather & Science predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Weather & Science odds?

Can I track Weather & Science predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Weather & Science markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Weather & Science predictions & odds