Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEduardo Braga 81%
Capitão Alberto Neto 11.0%
Wilson Lima 3.0%
Plinio Valério 1.8%
$37,719 Vol.
$37,719 Vol.
4 out 2026
Eduardo Braga
81%
Capitão Alberto Neto
11%
Wilson Lima
3%
Plinio Valério
2%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 81%
Capitão Alberto Neto 11.0%
Wilson Lima 3.0%
Plinio Valério 1.8%
$37,719 Vol.
$37,719 Vol.
4 out 2026
Eduardo Braga
$20,113 Vol.
81%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,724 Vol.
11%
Wilson Lima
$3,513 Vol.
3%
Plinio Valério
$3,517 Vol.
2%
Dailson Corrêa
$600 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Volume
$37,719Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,719Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81.5% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate election for one of two seats, reflecting consistent leads in recent polls from institutes such as Quaest, Comunidados, and Veritá. As the incumbent seeking a third term, Braga benefits from a broad coalition including Republicanos, PSD, PT, and others, plus stronger support in the interior compared to rivals. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 11.3%, followed by Wilson Lima (União Brasil) at 2.6% and Plínio Valério (PSDB) at 1.6%, with remaining candidates below 1%. Polling averages place Braga well ahead for the top spot ahead of the October 4 vote, though voter indecision and regional variations in Manaus could still influence final margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions