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icon for Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar

Capitão Alberto Neto 55%

Eduardo Braga 11.5%

Wilson Lima 6.1%

Plinio Valério 5.2%

Polymarket

$19,998 Vol.

Capitão Alberto Neto 55%

Eduardo Braga 11.5%

Wilson Lima 6.1%

Plinio Valério 5.2%

Polymarket

$19,998 Vol.

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$8,979 Vol.

55%

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$3,223 Vol.

12%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$4,127 Vol.

6%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$654 Vol.

5%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$758 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$486 Vol.

<1%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$498 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professora Evany

Professora Evany

$776 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a lead for one seat while the contest for second place remains fluid among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Regional divides shape the dynamics, with Alberto Neto drawing stronger support in Manaus and Braga plus Wilson Lima performing better in the interior. Late August surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Veritá indicate consolidated first-and-second vote shares placing Alberto Neto ahead in some scenarios, though margins often fall within error ranges and undecided voters persist. The October 4 election timeline and ongoing campaign events, including territorial outreach and rejection ratings, continue to influence trader assessments of who secures the second vacancy.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$19,998
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a lead for one seat while the contest for second place remains fluid among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Regional divides shape the dynamics, with Alberto Neto drawing stronger support in Manaus and Braga plus Wilson Lima performing better in the interior. Late August surveys from institutes including Real Time Big Data and Veritá indicate consolidated first-and-second vote shares placing Alberto Neto ahead in some scenarios, though margins often fall within error ranges and undecided voters persist. The October 4 election timeline and ongoing campaign events, including territorial outreach and rejection ratings, continue to influence trader assessments of who secures the second vacancy.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$19,998
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 55%, followed by "Eduardo Braga" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" has generated $20K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eduardo Braga" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.