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icon for Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar

Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar

Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar

Delegado Éder Mauro 65%

Zequinha Marinho 22%

Celso Sabino 8%

Helder 5.1%

Polymarket

$24,607 Vol.

Delegado Éder Mauro 65%

Zequinha Marinho 22%

Celso Sabino 8%

Helder 5.1%

Polymarket

$24,607 Vol.

icon for Delegado Éder Mauro

Delegado Éder Mauro

$13,545 Vol.

65%

icon for Zequinha Marinho

Zequinha Marinho

$7,075 Vol.

22%

icon for Celso Sabino

Celso Sabino

$480 Vol.

8%

icon for Helder

Helder

$1,525 Vol.

5%

icon for Edlaine Rodrigues

Edlaine Rodrigues

$551 Vol.

5%

icon for Chicão

Chicão

$235 Vol.

2%

icon for Breno Guimarães

Breno Guimarães

$240 Vol.

2%

icon for Conti

Conti

$272 Vol.

2%

icon for Fernanda Lopes

Fernanda Lopes

$208 Vol.

1%

icon for Gizelle Freitas

Gizelle Freitas

$266 Vol.

1%

icon for Willem da Silva

Willem da Silva

$211 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate election on October 4, 2026, where voters select two senators.** Recent polls, including Real Time Big Data (early September) and Quaest/AtlasIntel (July–August), show Helder Barbalho (MDB) comfortably ahead in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions at 21–36%, positioning him for first. This leaves a fragmented race for second among Éder Mauro (typically 14–18%), incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos, 7–15%), Celso Sabino (PDT, 5–12%), and Chicão (União, ~5–12%), all within margins of error. High undecided shares (15–30%) and the dual-vote system sustain uncertainty, with Éder Mauro’s consistent polling edge and PL-aligned support driving the current market consensus. Party conventions in July–August formalized the field with no major late shifts reported.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,607
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) leads trader pricing for second place in the Pará Senate election on October 4, 2026, where voters select two senators.** Recent polls, including Real Time Big Data (early September) and Quaest/AtlasIntel (July–August), show Helder Barbalho (MDB) comfortably ahead in consolidated first- and second-choice intentions at 21–36%, positioning him for first. This leaves a fragmented race for second among Éder Mauro (typically 14–18%), incumbent Zequinha Marinho (Podemos, 7–15%), Celso Sabino (PDT, 5–12%), and Chicão (União, ~5–12%), all within margins of error. High undecided shares (15–30%) and the dual-vote system sustain uncertainty, with Éder Mauro’s consistent polling edge and PL-aligned support driving the current market consensus. Party conventions in July–August formalized the field with no major late shifts reported.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$24,607
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Delegado Éder Mauro" at 65%, followed by "Zequinha Marinho" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" has generated $24.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" is "Delegado Éder Mauro" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zequinha Marinho" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Senado Pará: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.