Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest lead in the Mato Grosso gubernatorial race at 58.5% on Polymarket, ahead of Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, amid multiple late-August polls showing a technical tie in the first round. Recent surveys from Quaest (Fagundes 27%, Pivetta 23%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Pivetta 39%, Fagundes 35%) highlight persistent closeness within margins of error, driven by competition for overlapping right-leaning and agribusiness voters in the key agricultural state. Pivetta's incumbency and continuity messaging contrast with Fagundes' Senate profile and party resources, while high undecided shares (often 20%+) and a legal challenge to Pivetta's candidacy over a prior TCU ruling introduce volatility. Cross-party endorsements and campaign events in the interior have yet to produce clear separation as the October 4 first round approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWellington Fagundes 59%
Otaviano Pivetta 39%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$20,951 Vol.
$20,951 Vol.
4 out 2026
Wellington Fagundes
59%
Otaviano Pivetta
39%
Mauricio Coelho
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
<1%
Doutora Natasha
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
Wellington Fagundes 59%
Otaviano Pivetta 39%
Mauricio Coelho <1%
Sargento Laudicério <1%
$20,951 Vol.
$20,951 Vol.
4 out 2026
Wellington Fagundes
$11,136 Vol.
59%
Otaviano Pivetta
$6,325 Vol.
39%
Mauricio Coelho
$936 Vol.
<1%
Sargento Laudicério
$689 Vol.
<1%
Doutora Natasha
$995 Vol.
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$870 Vol.
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest lead in the Mato Grosso gubernatorial race at 58.5% on Polymarket, ahead of Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, amid multiple late-August polls showing a technical tie in the first round. Recent surveys from Quaest (Fagundes 27%, Pivetta 23%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Pivetta 39%, Fagundes 35%) highlight persistent closeness within margins of error, driven by competition for overlapping right-leaning and agribusiness voters in the key agricultural state. Pivetta's incumbency and continuity messaging contrast with Fagundes' Senate profile and party resources, while high undecided shares (often 20%+) and a legal challenge to Pivetta's candidacy over a prior TCU ruling introduce volatility. Cross-party endorsements and campaign events in the interior have yet to produce clear separation as the October 4 first round approaches.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
Volume
$20,951Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest lead in the Mato Grosso gubernatorial race at 58.5% on Polymarket, ahead of Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, amid multiple late-August polls showing a technical tie in the first round. Recent surveys from Quaest (Fagundes 27%, Pivetta 23%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Pivetta 39%, Fagundes 35%) highlight persistent closeness within margins of error, driven by competition for overlapping right-leaning and agribusiness voters in the key agricultural state. Pivetta's incumbency and continuity messaging contrast with Fagundes' Senate profile and party resources, while high undecided shares (often 20%+) and a legal challenge to Pivetta's candidacy over a prior TCU ruling introduce volatility. Cross-party endorsements and campaign events in the interior have yet to produce clear separation as the October 4 first round approaches.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$20,951Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wellington Fagundes (PL) holds a modest lead in the Mato Grosso gubernatorial race at 58.5% on Polymarket, ahead of Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 38%, amid multiple late-August polls showing a technical tie in the first round. Recent surveys from Quaest (Fagundes 27%, Pivetta 23%) and Paraná Pesquisas (Pivetta 39%, Fagundes 35%) highlight persistent closeness within margins of error, driven by competition for overlapping right-leaning and agribusiness voters in the key agricultural state. Pivetta's incumbency and continuity messaging contrast with Fagundes' Senate profile and party resources, while high undecided shares (often 20%+) and a legal challenge to Pivetta's candidacy over a prior TCU ruling introduce volatility. Cross-party endorsements and campaign events in the interior have yet to produce clear separation as the October 4 first round approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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