Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Amazonas gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, backed by consistent first-round polling advantages of 25-34% and a broad coalition including MDB, Republicanos, and PT federation support. His background as former governor (2010-2014) and sitting senator, combined with recent campaign focus on ecological zoning, land regularization, technical assistance for producers, and education initiatives like AI courses at Cetam, has reinforced positioning ahead of rivals. The field remains fragmented, with Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante) clustered in second place amid high undecided shares and variable runoff simulations. This dynamic sustains tight implied probabilities, as late shifts in voter preference or turnout in Manaus could narrow or widen gaps before the first round.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOmar Aziz 52%
Professora Maria do Carmo 29%
Roberto Cidade 16.1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%
$25,532 Vol.
$25,532 Vol.
4 out 2026
Omar Aziz
52%
Professora Maria do Carmo
29%
Roberto Cidade
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
1%
Cabo Daciolo
<1%
David Almeida
<1%
Isael Munduruku
<1%
Omar Aziz 52%
Professora Maria do Carmo 29%
Roberto Cidade 16.1%
Gilberto Vasconcelos <1%
$25,532 Vol.
$25,532 Vol.
4 out 2026
Omar Aziz
$8,882 Vol.
52%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$5,391 Vol.
29%
Roberto Cidade
$4,178 Vol.
16%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,851 Vol.
1%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
David Almeida
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
Isael Munduruku
$1,776 Vol.
<1%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Amazonas gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, backed by consistent first-round polling advantages of 25-34% and a broad coalition including MDB, Republicanos, and PT federation support. His background as former governor (2010-2014) and sitting senator, combined with recent campaign focus on ecological zoning, land regularization, technical assistance for producers, and education initiatives like AI courses at Cetam, has reinforced positioning ahead of rivals. The field remains fragmented, with Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante) clustered in second place amid high undecided shares and variable runoff simulations. This dynamic sustains tight implied probabilities, as late shifts in voter preference or turnout in Manaus could narrow or widen gaps before the first round.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$25,532Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Amazonas gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, backed by consistent first-round polling advantages of 25-34% and a broad coalition including MDB, Republicanos, and PT federation support. His background as former governor (2010-2014) and sitting senator, combined with recent campaign focus on ecological zoning, land regularization, technical assistance for producers, and education initiatives like AI courses at Cetam, has reinforced positioning ahead of rivals. The field remains fragmented, with Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante) clustered in second place amid high undecided shares and variable runoff simulations. This dynamic sustains tight implied probabilities, as late shifts in voter preference or turnout in Manaus could narrow or widen gaps before the first round.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,532Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD) holds the lead in trader consensus for the Amazonas gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, backed by consistent first-round polling advantages of 25-34% and a broad coalition including MDB, Republicanos, and PT federation support. His background as former governor (2010-2014) and sitting senator, combined with recent campaign focus on ecological zoning, land regularization, technical assistance for producers, and education initiatives like AI courses at Cetam, has reinforced positioning ahead of rivals. The field remains fragmented, with Maria do Carmo Seffair (PL), Roberto Cidade (União Brasil), and David Almeida (Avante) clustered in second place amid high undecided shares and variable runoff simulations. This dynamic sustains tight implied probabilities, as late shifts in voter preference or turnout in Manaus could narrow or widen gaps before the first round.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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