Alan Rick holds the lead in the Acre gubernatorial race as the Republicanos senator benefits from consistent polling advantages over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, who assumed the governorship in April after Gladson Cameli's resignation. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data place Rick in the low-to-mid 30s percent range for the October 4 first round, with Assis in the mid-20s and Tião Bocalom trailing further behind. Traders assign Rick the highest implied probability given his established name recognition, coligação strength, and path to a potential runoff victory, while Assis's position reflects approval for her short-term management offset by the competitive field and undecided voters. Campaign activities, including debates and regional visits in September, plus the October 25 second-round contingency, keep outcomes sensitive to late shifts in voter preferences among the six registered candidates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlan Rick 60%
Mailza Assis 39%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$37,247 Vol.
$37,247 Vol.
4 out 2026
Alan Rick
60%
Mailza Assis
39%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Eudo Raffael
<1%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Alan Rick 60%
Mailza Assis 39%
Dr. Luisinho <1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$37,247 Vol.
$37,247 Vol.
4 out 2026
Alan Rick
$19,854 Vol.
60%
Mailza Assis
$15,152 Vol.
39%
Dr. Luisinho
$602 Vol.
<1%
Eudo Raffael
$767 Vol.
<1%
Thor Dantas
$470 Vol.
<1%
Tião Bocalom
$402 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds the lead in the Acre gubernatorial race as the Republicanos senator benefits from consistent polling advantages over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, who assumed the governorship in April after Gladson Cameli's resignation. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data place Rick in the low-to-mid 30s percent range for the October 4 first round, with Assis in the mid-20s and Tião Bocalom trailing further behind. Traders assign Rick the highest implied probability given his established name recognition, coligação strength, and path to a potential runoff victory, while Assis's position reflects approval for her short-term management offset by the competitive field and undecided voters. Campaign activities, including debates and regional visits in September, plus the October 25 second-round contingency, keep outcomes sensitive to late shifts in voter preferences among the six registered candidates.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$37,247Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick holds the lead in the Acre gubernatorial race as the Republicanos senator benefits from consistent polling advantages over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, who assumed the governorship in April after Gladson Cameli's resignation. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data place Rick in the low-to-mid 30s percent range for the October 4 first round, with Assis in the mid-20s and Tião Bocalom trailing further behind. Traders assign Rick the highest implied probability given his established name recognition, coligação strength, and path to a potential runoff victory, while Assis's position reflects approval for her short-term management offset by the competitive field and undecided voters. Campaign activities, including debates and regional visits in September, plus the October 25 second-round contingency, keep outcomes sensitive to late shifts in voter preferences among the six registered candidates.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$37,247Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alan Rick holds the lead in the Acre gubernatorial race as the Republicanos senator benefits from consistent polling advantages over incumbent Mailza Assis of the PP, who assumed the governorship in April after Gladson Cameli's resignation. Recent surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data place Rick in the low-to-mid 30s percent range for the October 4 first round, with Assis in the mid-20s and Tião Bocalom trailing further behind. Traders assign Rick the highest implied probability given his established name recognition, coligação strength, and path to a potential runoff victory, while Assis's position reflects approval for her short-term management offset by the competitive field and undecided voters. Campaign activities, including debates and regional visits in September, plus the October 25 second-round contingency, keep outcomes sensitive to late shifts in voter preferences among the six registered candidates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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