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icon for Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar

Alexandre Guimarães 55%

Gaguim 31.3%

Eduardo Gomes 9.3%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 5.2%

Polymarket

$25,761 Vol.

Alexandre Guimarães 55%

Gaguim 31.3%

Eduardo Gomes 9.3%

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro 5.2%

Polymarket

$25,761 Vol.

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$13,917 Vol.

55%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$2,842 Vol.

31%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$1,282 Vol.

9%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$364 Vol.

5%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$4,410 Vol.

3%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$386 Vol.

3%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$418 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$342 Vol.

1%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$489 Vol.

1%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$311 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$284 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, with polls from August 2026 consistently placing him behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL) while ahead of or tied with Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil).** Multiple surveys, including those by Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 14–35% support and Guimarães in the 8–22% range as the clearest challenger, amid high undecided shares (often 30%+) and fragmented support for names like Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo. Gaguim’s elevated rejection ratings and competition for the same voter base limit his upside, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in name recognition and resources. With the October 4 vote approaching, late shifts in undecided voters or campaign momentum on federal funding and state priorities could narrow or widen gaps reflected in current trader pricing.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,761
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position for second place in Tocantins’ two-seat Senate race, with polls from August 2026 consistently placing him behind frontrunner Eduardo Gomes (PL) while ahead of or tied with Carlos Gaguim (União Brasil).** Multiple surveys, including those by Paraná Pesquisas, Real Time Big Data, and Quaest, show Gomes leading with 14–35% support and Guimarães in the 8–22% range as the clearest challenger, amid high undecided shares (often 30%+) and fragmented support for names like Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo. Gaguim’s elevated rejection ratings and competition for the same voter base limit his upside, while lower-polling candidates face structural barriers in name recognition and resources. With the October 4 vote approaching, late shifts in undecided voters or campaign momentum on federal funding and state priorities could narrow or widen gaps reflected in current trader pricing.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,761
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandre Guimarães" at 55%, followed by "Gaguim" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar" has generated $25.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar" is "Alexandre Guimarães" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gaguim" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.