**Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Tocantins’s two-seat Senate race ahead of the October 4 vote.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Veritá, place him at 25% or higher in vote intentions—well ahead of competitors—with consolidated two-vote scenarios showing him at over 40% in some measures. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) trails in second at around 16%, followed closely by Gaguim (União) and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos) in the 12-14% range, consistent with the market’s pricing for those names. The fragmented field and high undecided share leave room for shifts, but Gomes’s consistent frontrunner status across polls reflects his established position and party backing as the primary driver of trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEduardo Gomes 82%
Alexandre Guimarães 13.1%
Gaguim 1.6%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$27,162 Vol.
$27,162 Vol.
4 out 2026
Eduardo Gomes
82%
Alexandre Guimarães
13%
Gaguim
2%
Paulo Mourão
<1%
Eli Borges
<1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
<1%
Eduardo Gomes 82%
Alexandre Guimarães 13.1%
Gaguim 1.6%
Paulo Mourão <1%
$27,162 Vol.
$27,162 Vol.
4 out 2026
Eduardo Gomes
$15,769 Vol.
82%
Alexandre Guimarães
$2,426 Vol.
13%
Gaguim
$1,517 Vol.
2%
Paulo Mourão
$774 Vol.
<1%
Eli Borges
$699 Vol.
<1%
Nilton Santos
$819 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$701 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$769 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$762 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$769 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$554 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Dimas
$791 Vol.
<1%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$811 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Tocantins’s two-seat Senate race ahead of the October 4 vote.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Veritá, place him at 25% or higher in vote intentions—well ahead of competitors—with consolidated two-vote scenarios showing him at over 40% in some measures. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) trails in second at around 16%, followed closely by Gaguim (União) and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos) in the 12-14% range, consistent with the market’s pricing for those names. The fragmented field and high undecided share leave room for shifts, but Gomes’s consistent frontrunner status across polls reflects his established position and party backing as the primary driver of trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$27,162Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Tocantins’s two-seat Senate race ahead of the October 4 vote.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Veritá, place him at 25% or higher in vote intentions—well ahead of competitors—with consolidated two-vote scenarios showing him at over 40% in some measures. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) trails in second at around 16%, followed closely by Gaguim (União) and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos) in the 12-14% range, consistent with the market’s pricing for those names. The fragmented field and high undecided share leave room for shifts, but Gomes’s consistent frontrunner status across polls reflects his established position and party backing as the primary driver of trader consensus.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,162Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Eduardo Gomes (PL), the incumbent senator seeking re-election, holds a clear lead in recent polling for first place in Tocantins’s two-seat Senate race ahead of the October 4 vote.** Multiple September surveys, including Real Time Big Data and Veritá, place him at 25% or higher in vote intentions—well ahead of competitors—with consolidated two-vote scenarios showing him at over 40% in some measures. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) trails in second at around 16%, followed closely by Gaguim (União) and Vanderlei Luxemburgo (Podemos) in the 12-14% range, consistent with the market’s pricing for those names. The fragmented field and high undecided share leave room for shifts, but Gomes’s consistent frontrunner status across polls reflects his established position and party backing as the primary driver of trader consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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