Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a clear lead in recent polling with 38% support in the latest Quaest survey from late August, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 18%. His administration registers 61% approval, and he has consolidated a broad coalition including the PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and allied parties while confirming Lígia Feliciano as running mate. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and no major late shifts in voter intention reported, trader pricing reflects Ribeiro’s structural advantages as incumbent and consistent polling edge, while lower-priced alternatives such as Lucena and Filho trail significantly in both first-round and runoff simulations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLucas Ribeiro 80%
Cícero Lucena 16%
Efraim Filho 6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo <1%
$57,242 Vol.
$57,242 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
80%
Cícero Lucena
16%
Efraim Filho
6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 80%
Cícero Lucena 16%
Efraim Filho 6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo <1%
$57,242 Vol.
$57,242 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$16,837 Vol.
80%
Cícero Lucena
$18,237 Vol.
16%
Efraim Filho
$13,293 Vol.
6%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,395 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$841 Vol.
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$843 Vol.
1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,327 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a clear lead in recent polling with 38% support in the latest Quaest survey from late August, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 18%. His administration registers 61% approval, and he has consolidated a broad coalition including the PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and allied parties while confirming Lígia Feliciano as running mate. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and no major late shifts in voter intention reported, trader pricing reflects Ribeiro’s structural advantages as incumbent and consistent polling edge, while lower-priced alternatives such as Lucena and Filho trail significantly in both first-round and runoff simulations.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$57,242Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a clear lead in recent polling with 38% support in the latest Quaest survey from late August, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 18%. His administration registers 61% approval, and he has consolidated a broad coalition including the PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and allied parties while confirming Lígia Feliciano as running mate. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and no major late shifts in voter intention reported, trader pricing reflects Ribeiro’s structural advantages as incumbent and consistent polling edge, while lower-priced alternatives such as Lucena and Filho trail significantly in both first-round and runoff simulations.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$57,242Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for the Senate, holds a clear lead in recent polling with 38% support in the latest Quaest survey from late August, ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 19% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 18%. His administration registers 61% approval, and he has consolidated a broad coalition including the PP, UNIÃO, Republicanos, PSB, and allied parties while confirming Lígia Feliciano as running mate. With the first round scheduled for October 4 and no major late shifts in voter intention reported, trader pricing reflects Ribeiro’s structural advantages as incumbent and consistent polling edge, while lower-priced alternatives such as Lucena and Filho trail significantly in both first-round and runoff simulations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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