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icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec

Bernard Drainville 56%

Karine Laflamme 35%

Yanick Godbout 14.7%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 2.7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Bernard Drainville 56%

Karine Laflamme 35%

Yanick Godbout 14.7%

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé 2.7%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$873 Vol.

57%

icon for Karine Laflamme

Karine Laflamme

$875 Vol.

35%

icon for Yanick Godbout

Yanick Godbout

$305 Vol.

17%

icon for Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

Simon Beauchamp-Léveillé

$838 Vol.

3%

icon for Brittany Blais

Brittany Blais

$480 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent CAQ member and current economy minister, leads trader pricing in the Lévis riding ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show a toss-up between his party and the Conservative candidate Karine Laflamme, with both in the low-to-mid 30s amid voter concerns over transit, housing, and the stalled third-link project. Drainville’s local record on infrastructure and schools underpins his edge in the wisdom-of-crowds assessment, while Laflamme’s campaign emphasizes unfulfilled CAQ pledges. PQ, Liberal, and QS contenders trail significantly, leaving the outcome sensitive to late turnout shifts or campaign events in this battleground seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,371
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Bernard Drainville, the incumbent CAQ member and current economy minister, leads trader pricing in the Lévis riding ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election. Recent projections from 338Canada and Qc125 show a toss-up between his party and the Conservative candidate Karine Laflamme, with both in the low-to-mid 30s amid voter concerns over transit, housing, and the stalled third-link project. Drainville’s local record on infrastructure and schools underpins his edge in the wisdom-of-crowds assessment, while Laflamme’s campaign emphasizes unfulfilled CAQ pledges. PQ, Liberal, and QS contenders trail significantly, leaving the outcome sensitive to late turnout shifts or campaign events in this battleground seat.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,371
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bernard Drainville" at 57%, followed by "Karine Laflamme" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 57¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec" is "Bernard Drainville" at 57%, meaning the market assigns a 57% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karine Laflamme" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Lévis Quebec" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.