Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a consistent lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains closely divided among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these contenders within or near the margin of error when combining first and second preferences, with high shares of undecided and blank/null responses. Traders price the second-place outcome near even odds for the top names because voter ticket-splitting, regional party dynamics, and limited name recognition among lesser-known candidates sustain the uncertainty. Late-campaign events such as alliances, debate performances, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLuizianne 39%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 23%
Alcides Fernandes 4.8%
$36,461 Vol.
$36,461 Vol.
4 out 2026
Luizianne
39%
Capitão Wagner
36%
Cid Gomes
23%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Luizianne 39%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Cid Gomes 23%
Alcides Fernandes 4.8%
$36,461 Vol.
$36,461 Vol.
4 out 2026
Luizianne
$11,611 Vol.
39%
Capitão Wagner
$14,319 Vol.
36%
Cid Gomes
$4,901 Vol.
23%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Vol.
5%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,538 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a consistent lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains closely divided among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these contenders within or near the margin of error when combining first and second preferences, with high shares of undecided and blank/null responses. Traders price the second-place outcome near even odds for the top names because voter ticket-splitting, regional party dynamics, and limited name recognition among lesser-known candidates sustain the uncertainty. Late-campaign events such as alliances, debate performances, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,461Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a consistent lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains closely divided among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these contenders within or near the margin of error when combining first and second preferences, with high shares of undecided and blank/null responses. Traders price the second-place outcome near even odds for the top names because voter ticket-splitting, regional party dynamics, and limited name recognition among lesser-known candidates sustain the uncertainty. Late-campaign events such as alliances, debate performances, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,461Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Ceará's Senate race shows Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a consistent lead for one seat, while the contest for second place remains closely divided among Luizianne Lins (Rede), Capitão Wagner (União Brasil), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Multiple surveys from August and early September place these contenders within or near the margin of error when combining first and second preferences, with high shares of undecided and blank/null responses. Traders price the second-place outcome near even odds for the top names because voter ticket-splitting, regional party dynamics, and limited name recognition among lesser-known candidates sustain the uncertainty. Late-campaign events such as alliances, debate performances, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October 4 vote.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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