Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Georgia's 4th Congressional District due to the district's strong Democratic lean, built around eastern Atlanta suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties. Johnson secured his party's nomination with roughly 79 percent in the May 2026 primary and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including a 51-point victory in 2024. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed from his primary but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoGA-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
GA-04 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hank Johnson (D)
96%
James Duffie (R)
2%
$48,081 Vol.
$48,081 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Hank Johnson (D)
$29,990 Vol.
96%
James Duffie (R)
$18,091 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Georgia's 4th Congressional District due to the district's strong Democratic lean, built around eastern Atlanta suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties. Johnson secured his party's nomination with roughly 79 percent in the May 2026 primary and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including a 51-point victory in 2024. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed from his primary but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$48,081Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Georgia's 4th Congressional District due to the district's strong Democratic lean, built around eastern Atlanta suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties. Johnson secured his party's nomination with roughly 79 percent in the May 2026 primary and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including a 51-point victory in 2024. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed from his primary but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$48,081Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Georgia's 4th Congressional District due to the district's strong Democratic lean, built around eastern Atlanta suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties. Johnson secured his party's nomination with roughly 79 percent in the May 2026 primary and has consistently won general elections by wide margins, including a 51-point victory in 2024. Republican nominee James Duffie advanced unopposed from his primary but shows minimal fundraising or visibility. Forecasters across outlets classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though structural factors make such shifts improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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