Democratic incumbent JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising advantage as a self-funded candidate, and his unopposed primary path. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a former state senator who won his March primary, trails substantially in available polling and independent forecasts, which project Pritzker winning by margins exceeding 20 points. Recent developments include President Trump's September endorsement of Bailey, which has drawn criticism from Pritzker's campaign over policy alignment on issues such as tariffs and crime. Multiple rating organizations classify the contest as Solid Democratic. Late shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or unexpected turnout changes in key suburban and downstate regions ahead of the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para governador de Illinois
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.

JB Pritzker (D)
98%

Darren Bailey (R)
2%
$11,672 Vol.
$11,672 Vol.

JB Pritzker (D)
98%

Darren Bailey (R)
2%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong fundraising advantage as a self-funded candidate, and his unopposed primary path. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, a former state senator who won his March primary, trails substantially in available polling and independent forecasts, which project Pritzker winning by margins exceeding 20 points. Recent developments include President Trump's September endorsement of Bailey, which has drawn criticism from Pritzker's campaign over policy alignment on issues such as tariffs and crime. Multiple rating organizations classify the contest as Solid Democratic. Late shifts could arise from major scandals, health developments, or unexpected turnout changes in key suburban and downstate regions ahead of the November 3 election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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