Brett Guthrie's long incumbency and the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpin the 95% trader consensus for his victory in the November 3 general election. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field with 41%. The seat's partisan composition, with limited Democratic support and fundraising gaps, has kept the race noncompetitive. An independent candidate adds little pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts show high incumbent retention rates absent such disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
5%
$13,978 Vol.
$13,978 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Brett Guthrie (R)
$6,307 Vol.
95%
Megan Wingfield (D)
$7,671 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's long incumbency and the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpin the 95% trader consensus for his victory in the November 3 general election. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field with 41%. The seat's partisan composition, with limited Democratic support and fundraising gaps, has kept the race noncompetitive. An independent candidate adds little pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts show high incumbent retention rates absent such disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$13,978Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Brett Guthrie's long incumbency and the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpin the 95% trader consensus for his victory in the November 3 general election. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field with 41%. The seat's partisan composition, with limited Democratic support and fundraising gaps, has kept the race noncompetitive. An independent candidate adds little pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts show high incumbent retention rates absent such disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$13,978Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Brett Guthrie's long incumbency and the district's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters, underpin the 95% trader consensus for his victory in the November 3 general election. Guthrie secured his party's nomination with 85% in the May primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield advanced from a fragmented field with 41%. The seat's partisan composition, with limited Democratic support and fundraising gaps, has kept the race noncompetitive. An independent candidate adds little pressure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unforeseen national shift could still influence outcomes, though historical patterns in similar districts show high incumbent retention rates absent such disruptions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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