Incumbent Bill Keating maintains a commanding lead in the MA-09 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and his own prior general election results exceeding 54 percent. Keating secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent against a primary challenger, while Republican Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Keating's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's mix of Cape Cod, South Shore, and coastal communities. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMA-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
MA-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
5%
$23,264 Vol.
$23,264 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Keating (D)
$8,275 Vol.
95%
Tyler MacAllister (R)
$14,989 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating maintains a commanding lead in the MA-09 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and his own prior general election results exceeding 54 percent. Keating secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent against a primary challenger, while Republican Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Keating's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's mix of Cape Cod, South Shore, and coastal communities. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$23,264Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Bill Keating maintains a commanding lead in the MA-09 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and his own prior general election results exceeding 54 percent. Keating secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent against a primary challenger, while Republican Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Keating's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's mix of Cape Cod, South Shore, and coastal communities. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,264Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Bill Keating maintains a commanding lead in the MA-09 House race due to the district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential margins and his own prior general election results exceeding 54 percent. Keating secured the Democratic nomination on September 1 with nearly 80 percent against a primary challenger, while Republican Tyler MacAllister advanced unopposed. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing Keating's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's mix of Cape Cod, South Shore, and coastal communities. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Keating aligns with these structural factors. A late scandal, health event, or national Republican surge could narrow the gap before November 3, though such shifts remain uncommon in this environment.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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