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icon for MLB: ERA Leader
Desporto·MLB

MLB: ERA Leader

icon for MLB: ERA Leader
Desporto·MLB

MLB: ERA Leader

Brayan Bello 3.7%

Max Fried 3.6%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.5%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,766,815 Vol.

Brayan Bello 3.7%

Max Fried 3.6%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.5%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

Polymarket

$1,766,815 Vol.

Brayan Bello

$653 Vol.

4%

Max Fried

$92 Vol.

4%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$1,891 Vol.

4%

Dylan Cease

$8,109 Vol.

3%

Tarik Skubal

$572 Vol.

3%

Nick Pivetta

$315 Vol.

3%

Hunter Brown

$561 Vol.

3%

Garrett Crochet

$323 Vol.

2%

Paul Skenes

$2,966 Vol.

2%

Shohei Ohtani

$9,650 Vol.

2%

Taj Bradley

$348 Vol.

2%

Bryan Woo

$629,734 Vol.

1%

Bryce Elder

$308 Vol.

1%

Nolan McLean

$341 Vol.

1%

José Soriano

$1,833 Vol.

1%

Michael Wacha

$348 Vol.

1%

Clay Holmes

$329 Vol.

1%

Seth Lugo

$468 Vol.

1%

Carmen Mlodzinski

$471 Vol.

1%

Eduardo Rodriguez

$1,018 Vol.

1%

Connelly Early

$308 Vol.

1%

Freddy Peralta

$307 Vol.

1%

Chad Patrick

$291 Vol.

1%

Jeffrey Springs

$1,092,633 Vol.

1%

Reynaldo López

$317 Vol.

<1%

Matthew Boyd

$294 Vol.

<1%

Logan Webb

$340 Vol.

<1%

Emerson Hancock

$427 Vol.

<1%

Joe Ryan

$230 Vol.

<1%

Gavin Williams

$328 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Abbott

$957 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Rodón

$224 Vol.

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$8,686 Vol.

<1%

Merrill Kelly

$407 Vol.

<1%

Jacob deGrom

$738 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The wide dispersion of low probabilities across dozens of starters reflects a fragmented 2026 ERA race entering the final month, with no pitcher holding a commanding lead after strong showings from Jacob Misiorowski (1.97 ERA), Cam Schlittler (2.04), Shohei Ohtani (1.79), Dylan Cease (2.40), and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Key differentiators include innings qualification thresholds, remaining schedule difficulty, bullpen support, and injury or workload management risks that could alter final tallies. Recent hot streaks by names like Jesús Luzardo and Cristopher Sánchez keep the field fluid, while historical late-season volatility favors pitchers with favorable home/road splits and consistent strikeout-to-walk ratios. Trader consensus prices this uncertainty evenly rather than anointing any single contender.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,766,815
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The wide dispersion of low probabilities across dozens of starters reflects a fragmented 2026 ERA race entering the final month, with no pitcher holding a commanding lead after strong showings from Jacob Misiorowski (1.97 ERA), Cam Schlittler (2.04), Shohei Ohtani (1.79), Dylan Cease (2.40), and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Key differentiators include innings qualification thresholds, remaining schedule difficulty, bullpen support, and injury or workload management risks that could alter final tallies. Recent hot streaks by names like Jesús Luzardo and Cristopher Sánchez keep the field fluid, while historical late-season volatility favors pitchers with favorable home/road splits and consistent strikeout-to-walk ratios. Trader consensus prices this uncertainty evenly rather than anointing any single contender.

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,766,815
Data de Término
28 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: ERA Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brayan Bello" at 4%, followed by "Max Fried" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: ERA Leader" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: ERA Leader," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: ERA Leader" is "Brayan Bello" at just 4%, with "Max Fried" close behind at 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: ERA Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.