Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a Suffolk County seat rated Solid or Lean Republican by forecasters, due to his established record securing federal funding, emphasis on border security and local infrastructure, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and former air traffic controller who won his June primary decisively, focuses on affordability, housing, and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000. Recent mid-September developments include an FEC review of about $18,000 in questionable LaLota donations, which his campaign is addressing, alongside reports of older personal photos involving Gallant that have drawn scrutiny. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns and the district’s electoral math, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa NY-01
Vencedor da eleição da casa NY-01
$44,657 Vol.
$44,657 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
76%
Chris Gallant (D)
26%
$44,657 Vol.
$44,657 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$17,113 Vol.
76%
Chris Gallant (D)
$27,544 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a Suffolk County seat rated Solid or Lean Republican by forecasters, due to his established record securing federal funding, emphasis on border security and local infrastructure, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and former air traffic controller who won his June primary decisively, focuses on affordability, housing, and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000. Recent mid-September developments include an FEC review of about $18,000 in questionable LaLota donations, which his campaign is addressing, alongside reports of older personal photos involving Gallant that have drawn scrutiny. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns and the district’s electoral math, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$44,657Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a Suffolk County seat rated Solid or Lean Republican by forecasters, due to his established record securing federal funding, emphasis on border security and local infrastructure, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and former air traffic controller who won his June primary decisively, focuses on affordability, housing, and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000. Recent mid-September developments include an FEC review of about $18,000 in questionable LaLota donations, which his campaign is addressing, alongside reports of older personal photos involving Gallant that have drawn scrutiny. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns and the district’s electoral math, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$44,657Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York’s 1st Congressional District, a Suffolk County seat rated Solid or Lean Republican by forecasters, due to his established record securing federal funding, emphasis on border security and local infrastructure, and overwhelming fundraising edge exceeding $3.3 million in cash on hand. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and former air traffic controller who won his June primary decisively, focuses on affordability, housing, and veterans’ issues but trails significantly in resources at roughly $172,000. Recent mid-September developments include an FEC review of about $18,000 in questionable LaLota donations, which his campaign is addressing, alongside reports of older personal photos involving Gallant that have drawn scrutiny. These factors, combined with historical voting patterns and the district’s electoral math, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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