Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the area’s Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morelle, serving since 2018 and representing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator first elected in 2024, faces significant structural challenges, including limited campaign funds relative to the incumbent. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce trader consensus around the frontrunner, though late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen national factors could still influence the final margin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Representantes NY-25
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Representantes NY-25
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
3%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Joseph Morelle (D)
$22,758 Vol.
96%
Virginia McIntyre (R)
$10,354 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the area’s Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morelle, serving since 2018 and representing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator first elected in 2024, faces significant structural challenges, including limited campaign funds relative to the incumbent. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce trader consensus around the frontrunner, though late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen national factors could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$33,113Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the area’s Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morelle, serving since 2018 and representing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator first elected in 2024, faces significant structural challenges, including limited campaign funds relative to the incumbent. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce trader consensus around the frontrunner, though late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen national factors could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,113Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Joseph Morelle holds a commanding position in New York’s 25th congressional district due to the area’s Democratic lean, reflected in its D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Morelle, serving since 2018 and representing Monroe County and parts of Ontario County, secured his party’s nomination in the June 2026 primary with 63 percent of the vote. Republican nominee Virginia McIntyre, a Monroe County legislator first elected in 2024, faces significant structural challenges, including limited campaign funds relative to the incumbent. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent shifts in polling or endorsements reinforce trader consensus around the frontrunner, though late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen national factors could still influence the final margin.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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