Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 6th congressional district due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Cook PVI and Rulli's 66.7% win in the 2024 special election. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a divided primary with just 31.5% of the vote. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Rulli has raised over $1.1 million compared to Kirtley's roughly $1,000, underscoring the structural and resource advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan composition and Rulli's incumbency make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOH-06 Vencedor da eleição da casa
OH-06 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$68,810 Vol.
$68,810 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Michael Rulli (R)
95%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)
5%
$68,810 Vol.
$68,810 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Michael Rulli (R)
$25,892 Vol.
95%
Elizabeth Kirtley (D)
$42,918 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 6th congressional district due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Cook PVI and Rulli's 66.7% win in the 2024 special election. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a divided primary with just 31.5% of the vote. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Rulli has raised over $1.1 million compared to Kirtley's roughly $1,000, underscoring the structural and resource advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan composition and Rulli's incumbency make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$68,810Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 6th congressional district due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Cook PVI and Rulli's 66.7% win in the 2024 special election. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a divided primary with just 31.5% of the vote. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Rulli has raised over $1.1 million compared to Kirtley's roughly $1,000, underscoring the structural and resource advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan composition and Rulli's incumbency make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$68,810Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding lead in Ohio's 6th congressional district due to the seat's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+17 Cook PVI and Rulli's 66.7% win in the 2024 special election. Rulli secured the Republican nomination with 76% in the May 2026 primary, while Democrat Elizabeth Kirtley advanced from a divided primary with just 31.5% of the vote. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Rulli has raised over $1.1 million compared to Kirtley's roughly $1,000, underscoring the structural and resource advantages. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's partisan composition and Rulli's incumbency make such shifts improbable before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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