South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican Marty Jackley, the state's attorney general, holding a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the state's long Republican dominance in congressional races and his decisive primary victory. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the partisan landscape, with Republicans winning every House election since 2008 and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Republican. Jackley has highlighted issues including affordability, energy independence, and public safety while aligning with broader Republican positions on election integrity, including support for restrictions on certain mail-in ballots. Democrat Nikki Gronli, unopposed in her primary, has focused on rural development and criticized federal interference in state voting processes. Advance voting began in mid-September ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such changes unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara SD-AL
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara SD-AL
$32,111 Vol.
$32,111 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
4%
$32,111 Vol.
$32,111 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,423 Vol.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican Marty Jackley, the state's attorney general, holding a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the state's long Republican dominance in congressional races and his decisive primary victory. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the partisan landscape, with Republicans winning every House election since 2008 and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Republican. Jackley has highlighted issues including affordability, energy independence, and public safety while aligning with broader Republican positions on election integrity, including support for restrictions on certain mail-in ballots. Democrat Nikki Gronli, unopposed in her primary, has focused on rural development and criticized federal interference in state voting processes. Advance voting began in mid-September ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such changes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,111Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican Marty Jackley, the state's attorney general, holding a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the state's long Republican dominance in congressional races and his decisive primary victory. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the partisan landscape, with Republicans winning every House election since 2008 and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Republican. Jackley has highlighted issues including affordability, energy independence, and public safety while aligning with broader Republican positions on election integrity, including support for restrictions on certain mail-in ballots. Democrat Nikki Gronli, unopposed in her primary, has focused on rural development and criticized federal interference in state voting processes. Advance voting began in mid-September ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such changes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,111Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large House seat features Republican Marty Jackley, the state's attorney general, holding a commanding lead in trader consensus due to the state's long Republican dominance in congressional races and his decisive primary victory. The open seat, created by incumbent Dusty Johnson's gubernatorial bid, has not altered the partisan landscape, with Republicans winning every House election since 2008 and race ratings classifying the contest as solidly Republican. Jackley has highlighted issues including affordability, energy independence, and public safety while aligning with broader Republican positions on election integrity, including support for restrictions on certain mail-in ballots. Democrat Nikki Gronli, unopposed in her primary, has focused on rural development and criticized federal interference in state voting processes. Advance voting began in mid-September ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural and historical factors make such changes unlikely.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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