Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and its last $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025 anchor trader expectations for an IPO market cap, with the leading 4B–5B outcome at 38 percent holding only a modest edge over 2B–3B at 29.5 percent. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members, appointing a new CMO, and introducing paid API access to curb scraping reflect readiness while highlighting revenue concentration in premium subscriptions from roughly 180 million users. The tight spread stems from uncertainty over timing after the missed spring window, subscription conversion rates, and consumer-health IPO multiples in a market where the company trades at roughly 4–5x estimated revenue. Fresh metrics on growth or broader tech sentiment could widen the gap between these brackets before any listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCapitalização de mercado de fechamento de IPO do Strava
Capitalização de mercado de fechamento de IPO do Strava
2B–3B 30%
10B–15B 5.8%
5B–7B 5.1%
15B+ 4.0%
$91,226 Vol.
$91,226 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<2B
8%
2B–3B
30%
3B–4B
17%
4B–5B
38%
5B–7B
5%
7B–10B
20%
10B–15B
6%
15B+
4%
No IPO before 2028
7%
2B–3B 30%
10B–15B 5.8%
5B–7B 5.1%
15B+ 4.0%
$91,226 Vol.
$91,226 Vol.
31 dez 2027
<2B
$992 Vol.
8%
2B–3B
$54,580 Vol.
30%
3B–4B
$27,886 Vol.
17%
4B–5B
$1,422 Vol.
38%
5B–7B
$1,067 Vol.
5%
7B–10B
$1,249 Vol.
20%
10B–15B
$1,776 Vol.
6%
15B+
$1,464 Vol.
4%
No IPO before 2028
$789 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and its last $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025 anchor trader expectations for an IPO market cap, with the leading 4B–5B outcome at 38 percent holding only a modest edge over 2B–3B at 29.5 percent. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members, appointing a new CMO, and introducing paid API access to curb scraping reflect readiness while highlighting revenue concentration in premium subscriptions from roughly 180 million users. The tight spread stems from uncertainty over timing after the missed spring window, subscription conversion rates, and consumer-health IPO multiples in a market where the company trades at roughly 4–5x estimated revenue. Fresh metrics on growth or broader tech sentiment could widen the gap between these brackets before any listing.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$91,226Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and its last $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025 anchor trader expectations for an IPO market cap, with the leading 4B–5B outcome at 38 percent holding only a modest edge over 2B–3B at 29.5 percent. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members, appointing a new CMO, and introducing paid API access to curb scraping reflect readiness while highlighting revenue concentration in premium subscriptions from roughly 180 million users. The tight spread stems from uncertainty over timing after the missed spring window, subscription conversion rates, and consumer-health IPO multiples in a market where the company trades at roughly 4–5x estimated revenue. Fresh metrics on growth or broader tech sentiment could widen the gap between these brackets before any listing.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$91,226Data de Término
1 jan 2028Mercado Aberto
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Strava's confidential S-1 filing in early 2026 and its last $2.2 billion private valuation from May 2025 anchor trader expectations for an IPO market cap, with the leading 4B–5B outcome at 38 percent holding only a modest edge over 2B–3B at 29.5 percent. Preparatory moves such as adding experienced board members, appointing a new CMO, and introducing paid API access to curb scraping reflect readiness while highlighting revenue concentration in premium subscriptions from roughly 180 million users. The tight spread stems from uncertainty over timing after the missed spring window, subscription conversion rates, and consumer-health IPO multiples in a market where the company trades at roughly 4–5x estimated revenue. Fresh metrics on growth or broader tech sentiment could widen the gap between these brackets before any listing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions