Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, supported by the state's consistent Republican tilt, including a nearly 30-point margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Hagerty secured his nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her August primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican environment. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest safe or solid for the GOP, aligning with a single recent poll showing a 20- to 25-point margin. Trader consensus at prediction markets reflects these fundamentals. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health developments, or unanticipated scandals could still influence turnout or priorities ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Tennessee
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Tennessee
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
4%
$29,907 Vol.
$29,907 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bill Hagerty (R)
$19,518 Vol.
96%
Marquita Bradshaw (D)
$10,390 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, supported by the state's consistent Republican tilt, including a nearly 30-point margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Hagerty secured his nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her August primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican environment. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest safe or solid for the GOP, aligning with a single recent poll showing a 20- to 25-point margin. Trader consensus at prediction markets reflects these fundamentals. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health developments, or unanticipated scandals could still influence turnout or priorities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$29,907Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, supported by the state's consistent Republican tilt, including a nearly 30-point margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Hagerty secured his nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her August primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican environment. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest safe or solid for the GOP, aligning with a single recent poll showing a 20- to 25-point margin. Trader consensus at prediction markets reflects these fundamentals. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health developments, or unanticipated scandals could still influence turnout or priorities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$29,907Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 Tennessee Senate race, supported by the state's consistent Republican tilt, including a nearly 30-point margin for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Hagerty secured his nomination without opposition and holds a substantial fundraising advantage over Democrat Marquita Bradshaw, who won her August primary but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican environment. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest safe or solid for the GOP, aligning with a single recent poll showing a 20- to 25-point margin. Trader consensus at prediction markets reflects these fundamentals. Late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health developments, or unanticipated scandals could still influence turnout or priorities ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions