Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar secured the nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña emerged from her party's runoff to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's urban demographics, high education levels, and voting patterns that have produced lopsided results in recent cycles. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on a wide margin, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TX-37
Vencedor da eleição da casa TX-37
$42,878 Vol.
$42,878 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
98%
Partido Republicano
1%
$42,878 Vol.
$42,878 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$26,227 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$16,651 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar secured the nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña emerged from her party's runoff to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's urban demographics, high education levels, and voting patterns that have produced lopsided results in recent cycles. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on a wide margin, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,878Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar secured the nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña emerged from her party's runoff to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's urban demographics, high education levels, and voting patterns that have produced lopsided results in recent cycles. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on a wide margin, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,878Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 37th congressional district, anchored in Austin and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent presidential margins exceeding 50 points for Democratic candidates. Incumbent Democrat Greg Casar secured the nomination with over 80% in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Lauren Peña emerged from her party's runoff to face him in the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, driven by the district's urban demographics, high education levels, and voting patterns that have produced lopsided results in recent cycles. This positioning aligns with trader consensus on a wide margin, though late developments such as a major candidate scandal or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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