Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a structurally Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent presidential margins exceeding 40 points for the GOP. Incumbent Morgan Griffith, serving since 2011 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Powers won her August primary but faces the same barriers that have limited Democratic performance in this rural southwest Virginia district for over a decade. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical precedent, though an unforeseen national shift or late development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVA-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
VA-09 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$66,379 Vol.
$66,379 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Morgan Griffith (R)
96%
Joy Powers (D)
2%
$66,379 Vol.
$66,379 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Morgan Griffith (R)
$44,841 Vol.
96%
Joy Powers (D)
$21,537 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a structurally Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent presidential margins exceeding 40 points for the GOP. Incumbent Morgan Griffith, serving since 2011 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Powers won her August primary but faces the same barriers that have limited Democratic performance in this rural southwest Virginia district for over a decade. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical precedent, though an unforeseen national shift or late development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$66,379Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a structurally Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent presidential margins exceeding 40 points for the GOP. Incumbent Morgan Griffith, serving since 2011 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Powers won her August primary but faces the same barriers that have limited Democratic performance in this rural southwest Virginia district for over a decade. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical precedent, though an unforeseen national shift or late development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$66,379Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 9th Congressional District remains a structurally Republican seat with a Partisan Voter Index of R+22 and consistent presidential margins exceeding 40 points for the GOP. Incumbent Morgan Griffith, serving since 2011 and re-elected with over 72% in 2024, holds a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.8 million compared to Democratic nominee Joy Powers' roughly $85,000. All major forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Powers won her August primary but faces the same barriers that have limited Democratic performance in this rural southwest Virginia district for over a decade. Trader pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical precedent, though an unforeseen national shift or late development could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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