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icon for Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?
Política·Big Tech

Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?

icon for Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?
Política·Big Tech

Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?

Paramount 72%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 19%

Comcast <1%

Netflix <1%

Polymarket

$1,262,727 Vol.

Paramount 72%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027 19%

Comcast <1%

Netflix <1%

Polymarket

$1,262,727 Vol.

Paramount

$536,323 Vol.

72%

Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027

$234,710 Vol.

19%

Comcast

$235,903 Vol.

<1%

Netflix

$255,790 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Paramount Skydance holds a strong lead in the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition market because it secured shareholder approval in April 2026, DOJ antitrust clearance in June, and EU approval in July after outbidding Netflix and sidelining Comcast. The $111 billion all-asset deal now faces the main remaining obstacle: a July 2026 lawsuit by 12 state attorneys general alleging reduced competition in theatrical distribution and cable. Ongoing litigation and settlement discussions as of September 2026 introduce uncertainty around the original Q3 2026 target, supporting the 18.5% probability assigned to no closing by the June 30, 2027 resolution date.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Volume
$1,262,727
Data de Término
30 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.Paramount Skydance holds a strong lead in the Warner Bros. Discovery acquisition market because it secured shareholder approval in April 2026, DOJ antitrust clearance in June, and EU approval in July after outbidding Netflix and sidelining Comcast. The $111 billion all-asset deal now faces the main remaining obstacle: a July 2026 lawsuit by 12 state attorneys general alleging reduced competition in theatrical distribution and cable. Ongoing litigation and settlement discussions as of September 2026 introduce uncertainty around the original Q3 2026 target, supporting the 18.5% probability assigned to no closing by the June 30, 2027 resolution date.

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027".

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Volume
$1,262,727
Data de Término
30 jun 2027
Mercado Aberto
Dec 8, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paramount" at 72%, followed by "Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 72¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" is "Paramount" at 72%, meaning the market assigns a 72% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nenhuma até 30 de junho de 2027" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem fechará a aquisição da Warner Bros.?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.