Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 20-25 points based on recent presidential results and voter registration. Chu advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato, a former local council member with limited statewide profile or fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history and the absence of major polling shifts or external shocks since the primary. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows margins in safe seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-28 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$141,319 Объем
$141,319 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джуди Чу (Д)
97%
Эйприл Верлато (Р)
1%
$141,319 Объем
$141,319 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джуди Чу (Д)
$58,324 Объем
97%
Эйприл Верлато (Р)
$82,996 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 20-25 points based on recent presidential results and voter registration. Chu advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato, a former local council member with limited statewide profile or fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history and the absence of major polling shifts or external shocks since the primary. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows margins in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$141,319Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 20-25 points based on recent presidential results and voter registration. Chu advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato, a former local council member with limited statewide profile or fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history and the absence of major polling shifts or external shocks since the primary. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows margins in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$141,319Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu holds a commanding position in California's 28th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election, reflecting the seat's consistent Democratic lean of roughly 20-25 points based on recent presidential results and voter registration. Chu advanced comfortably from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 60 percent of the vote against Republican April Verlato, a former local council member with limited statewide profile or fundraising. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's history and the absence of major polling shifts or external shocks since the primary. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, though outcomes could shift in the event of a late scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican wave that narrows margins in safe seats.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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