Jacqui Irwin maintains a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, sits in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats by several points based on recent presidential results. Irwin, a state assemblymember, secured the Democratic nomination after topping the June 2 top-two primary with over 41 percent of the vote and drawing endorsements from Brownley, the state party, and Governor Gavin Newsom, while outpacing all rivals in fundraising. Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, advanced as the top GOP finisher but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout in Ventura County and northern Los Angeles County portions could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts limit such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-26 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$32,175 Объем
$32,175 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джаки Ирвин (Д)
95%
Сэм Галлуччи (Р)
6%
$32,175 Объем
$32,175 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джаки Ирвин (Д)
$16,426 Объем
95%
Сэм Галлуччи (Р)
$15,749 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin maintains a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, sits in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats by several points based on recent presidential results. Irwin, a state assemblymember, secured the Democratic nomination after topping the June 2 top-two primary with over 41 percent of the vote and drawing endorsements from Brownley, the state party, and Governor Gavin Newsom, while outpacing all rivals in fundraising. Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, advanced as the top GOP finisher but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout in Ventura County and northern Los Angeles County portions could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$32,175Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin maintains a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, sits in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats by several points based on recent presidential results. Irwin, a state assemblymember, secured the Democratic nomination after topping the June 2 top-two primary with over 41 percent of the vote and drawing endorsements from Brownley, the state party, and Governor Gavin Newsom, while outpacing all rivals in fundraising. Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, advanced as the top GOP finisher but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout in Ventura County and northern Los Angeles County portions could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$32,175Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin maintains a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Julia Brownley, sits in a district redrawn under Proposition 50 to favor Democrats by several points based on recent presidential results. Irwin, a state assemblymember, secured the Democratic nomination after topping the June 2 top-two primary with over 41 percent of the vote and drawing endorsements from Brownley, the state party, and Governor Gavin Newsom, while outpacing all rivals in fundraising. Republican nominee Sam Gallucci, a pastor and nonprofit leader, advanced as the top GOP finisher but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic. Late developments such as major scandals, health issues, or unusually high Republican turnout in Ventura County and northern Los Angeles County portions could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts limit such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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