Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding lead in California's 25th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+4 and solid ratings from multiple forecasters. His 60% primary performance in June 2026 consolidated support ahead of the November general election, while Republican Joe Males advanced with under 19% after defeating other GOP contenders. Ruiz benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and alignment with district priorities on healthcare and local economic issues. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz accounts for these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-25 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-25 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$20,155 Объем
$20,155 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рауль Руис (Д)
95%
Джо Малес (Р)
6%
$20,155 Объем
$20,155 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Рауль Руис (Д)
$12,890 Объем
95%
Джо Малес (Р)
$7,265 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding lead in California's 25th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+4 and solid ratings from multiple forecasters. His 60% primary performance in June 2026 consolidated support ahead of the November general election, while Republican Joe Males advanced with under 19% after defeating other GOP contenders. Ruiz benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and alignment with district priorities on healthcare and local economic issues. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz accounts for these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$20,155Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding lead in California's 25th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+4 and solid ratings from multiple forecasters. His 60% primary performance in June 2026 consolidated support ahead of the November general election, while Republican Joe Males advanced with under 19% after defeating other GOP contenders. Ruiz benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and alignment with district priorities on healthcare and local economic issues. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz accounts for these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$20,155Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz holds a commanding lead in California's 25th congressional district due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+4 and solid ratings from multiple forecasters. His 60% primary performance in June 2026 consolidated support ahead of the November general election, while Republican Joe Males advanced with under 19% after defeating other GOP contenders. Ruiz benefits from incumbency, substantial fundraising, and alignment with district priorities on healthcare and local economic issues. Trader consensus at 95% for Ruiz accounts for these structural advantages, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate health event, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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