Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CT-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$47,340 Объем
$47,340 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джим Хаймс (Д)
96%
Майкл Голдстейн (Р)
4%
$47,340 Объем
$47,340 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джим Хаймс (Д)
$21,773 Объем
96%
Майкл Голдстейн (Р)
$25,567 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$47,340Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$47,340Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Himes has represented Connecticut’s 4th congressional district since 2009 and won reelection in 2024 with 61 percent of the vote against the same Republican opponent. The district carries a D+13 Partisan Voter Index, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional contests. Himes advanced unopposed through the August 2026 Democratic primary, while Michael Goldstein secured the Republican nomination by a wide margin but enters the general election with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A commanding lead in trader consensus stems from these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating any meaningful shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы