Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range recently, with trackers showing roughly 20–25 original posts, reposts, and quotes per day through late August amid steady commentary on Grok features, SpaceX milestones, and AI infrastructure. This baseline activity, without a major product launch, regulatory flare-up, or viral controversy, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 160–239 brackets for the full August 28–September 4 window. Traders are weighing historical variance—quiet periods often land in the 40–64 range over three days—against potential catalysts like the September 2 Venice Film Festival documentary on Musk, which could spark reactions or promotional engagement in the final stretch. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether routine business updates or an unexpected news cycle will push totals higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 21%
200-219 19%
160-179 18%
220-239 16%
$673,053 Объем
$673,053 Объем
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
2%
140-159
9%
160-179
18%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
16%
240-259
10%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
200-219 19%
160-179 18%
220-239 16%
$673,053 Объем
$673,053 Объем
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
2%
140-159
9%
160-179
18%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
16%
240-259
10%
260-279
5%
280-299
3%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has settled into a moderate range recently, with trackers showing roughly 20–25 original posts, reposts, and quotes per day through late August amid steady commentary on Grok features, SpaceX milestones, and AI infrastructure. This baseline activity, without a major product launch, regulatory flare-up, or viral controversy, underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 160–239 brackets for the full August 28–September 4 window. Traders are weighing historical variance—quiet periods often land in the 40–64 range over three days—against potential catalysts like the September 2 Venice Film Festival documentary on Musk, which could spark reactions or promotional engagement in the final stretch. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether routine business updates or an unexpected news cycle will push totals higher.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы