Aaron Bean holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida's 4th congressional district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bean advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary, while LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination after defeating two challengers. The district's voter base in Nassau and Clay counties favors Republicans, consistent with Bean's 2024 victory margin. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments, underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-04
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-04
$27,450 Объем
$27,450 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Аарон Бин (Р)
89%
Лашонда Холлоуэй (Д)
11%
$27,450 Объем
$27,450 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Аарон Бин (Р)
$16,752 Объем
89%
Лашонда Холлоуэй (Д)
$10,698 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Bean holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida's 4th congressional district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bean advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary, while LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination after defeating two challengers. The district's voter base in Nassau and Clay counties favors Republicans, consistent with Bean's 2024 victory margin. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments, underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$27,450Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Bean holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida's 4th congressional district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bean advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary, while LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination after defeating two challengers. The district's voter base in Nassau and Clay counties favors Republicans, consistent with Bean's 2024 victory margin. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments, underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,450Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Bean holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Florida's 4th congressional district, which carries an R+5 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Bean advanced unopposed through the August Republican primary, while LaShonda Holloway secured the Democratic nomination after defeating two challengers. The district's voter base in Nassau and Clay counties favors Republicans, consistent with Bean's 2024 victory margin. These structural factors, combined with the absence of recent competitive polling or major campaign developments, underpin trader consensus on the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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