Redistricting shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating more conservative-leaning areas in central and southern Florida. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4% in a crowded field and has emphasized tax relief and affordability in recent attacks on incumbent Darren Soto's record, including Soto's vote against no-tax-on-tips provisions. Soto advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, and trader consensus reflects these structural and campaign dynamics ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-09
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-09
$19,843 Объем
$19,843 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэн Грин (Р)
64%
Даррен Сото (Д)
34%
$19,843 Объем
$19,843 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дэн Грин (Р)
$11,628 Объем
64%
Даррен Сото (Д)
$8,215 Объем
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating more conservative-leaning areas in central and southern Florida. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4% in a crowded field and has emphasized tax relief and affordability in recent attacks on incumbent Darren Soto's record, including Soto's vote against no-tax-on-tips provisions. Soto advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, and trader consensus reflects these structural and campaign dynamics ahead of the vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$19,843Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating more conservative-leaning areas in central and southern Florida. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4% in a crowded field and has emphasized tax relief and affordability in recent attacks on incumbent Darren Soto's record, including Soto's vote against no-tax-on-tips provisions. Soto advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, and trader consensus reflects these structural and campaign dynamics ahead of the vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,843Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted Florida's 9th Congressional District toward Republicans, moving the Cook Partisan Voting Index from D+4 to R+8 and incorporating more conservative-leaning areas in central and southern Florida. Dan Green secured the Republican nomination in the August 18 primary with 25.4% in a crowded field and has emphasized tax relief and affordability in recent attacks on incumbent Darren Soto's record, including Soto's vote against no-tax-on-tips provisions. Soto advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary but faces a more competitive general election environment on November 3. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican, and trader consensus reflects these structural and campaign dynamics ahead of the vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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