Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in his 61.8% victory in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary with substantial cash reserves exceeding $2.9 million, while Democrat James Martin narrowly secured his nomination in August 2026 and faces a steep fundraising gap. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan balance across Martin, St. Lucie, and northern Palm Beach counties without altering its fundamentals. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Mast aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout shifts, or national political realignments could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-21
$15,440 Объем
$15,440 Объем
Брайан Маст (Р)
91%
Джеймс Мартин (Д)
10%
$15,440 Объем
$15,440 Объем
Брайан Маст (Р)
91%
Джеймс Мартин (Д)
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast holds a commanding lead in Florida's 21st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican tilt, reflected in his 61.8% victory in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. Mast advanced unopposed through the Republican primary with substantial cash reserves exceeding $2.9 million, while Democrat James Martin narrowly secured his nomination in August 2026 and faces a steep fundraising gap. Recent redistricting preserved the district's partisan balance across Martin, St. Lucie, and northern Palm Beach counties without altering its fundamentals. Trader consensus at 90.5% for Mast aligns with these structural advantages, though late developments such as major scandals, turnout shifts, or national political realignments could still narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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