Austin Scott’s commanding position in the GA-08 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and his established incumbency advantage in rural southern Georgia. Scott secured an unopposed Republican primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 37 points in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who narrowly won his May primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s voter base. Trader consensus assigns only modest odds to an upset, which would require an extraordinary national shift, late-breaking controversy, or turnout anomaly to overcome the baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-08
$41,874 Объем
$41,874 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Остин Скотт (Р)
94%
Келли Эсти (Д)
7%
$41,874 Объем
$41,874 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Остин Скотт (Р)
$21,807 Объем
94%
Келли Эсти (Д)
$20,068 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Scott’s commanding position in the GA-08 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and his established incumbency advantage in rural southern Georgia. Scott secured an unopposed Republican primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 37 points in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who narrowly won his May primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s voter base. Trader consensus assigns only modest odds to an upset, which would require an extraordinary national shift, late-breaking controversy, or turnout anomaly to overcome the baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$41,874Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Austin Scott’s commanding position in the GA-08 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and his established incumbency advantage in rural southern Georgia. Scott secured an unopposed Republican primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 37 points in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who narrowly won his May primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s voter base. Trader consensus assigns only modest odds to an upset, which would require an extraordinary national shift, late-breaking controversy, or turnout anomaly to overcome the baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$41,874Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Austin Scott’s commanding position in the GA-08 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, and his established incumbency advantage in rural southern Georgia. Scott secured an unopposed Republican primary and previously won reelection by wide margins, including 37 points in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all classify the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kelly Esti, who narrowly won his May primary, faces structural barriers including limited fundraising and the district’s voter base. Trader consensus assigns only modest odds to an upset, which would require an extraordinary national shift, late-breaking controversy, or turnout anomaly to overcome the baseline partisan and incumbency factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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