Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th Congressional District race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The rural northern and central Illinois district has delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and LaHood advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary while amassing over $6.7 million in cash on hand. His Democratic challenger, Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive focused on labor and manufacturing issues, secured union endorsements but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national electoral shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-16
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-16
$38,992 Объем
$38,992 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дарин ЛаХуд (Р)
94%
Пол Нолли (Д)
7%
$38,992 Объем
$38,992 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Дарин ЛаХуд (Р)
$15,407 Объем
94%
Пол Нолли (Д)
$23,585 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th Congressional District race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The rural northern and central Illinois district has delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and LaHood advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary while amassing over $6.7 million in cash on hand. His Democratic challenger, Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive focused on labor and manufacturing issues, secured union endorsements but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national electoral shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$38,992Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th Congressional District race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The rural northern and central Illinois district has delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and LaHood advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary while amassing over $6.7 million in cash on hand. His Democratic challenger, Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive focused on labor and manufacturing issues, secured union endorsements but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national electoral shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$38,992Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 16th Congressional District race due to his incumbency in a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 partisan voting index and consistent "Safe Republican" or "Solid Republican" ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The rural northern and central Illinois district has delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and LaHood advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primary while amassing over $6.7 million in cash on hand. His Democratic challenger, Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive focused on labor and manufacturing issues, secured union endorsements but trails significantly in fundraising and faces structural headwinds. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a national electoral shift, major scandal, or health event could theoretically alter the trajectory before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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