Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Casten secured renomination with over 75% in the March 2026 primary and previously won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points in a district covering suburban Cook and DuPage counties. Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who also cleared her primary decisively, faces structural headwinds including lower name recognition and historical Republican underperformance here. Trader consensus at 96% for Casten aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge, unusually strong fundraising or turnout efforts by Conforti, or late-breaking developments could narrow the margin before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIL-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IL-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$43,182 Объем
$43,182 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Шон Кастен (Д)
96%
Ники Конфорти (Р)
2%
$43,182 Объем
$43,182 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Шон Кастен (Д)
$19,994 Объем
96%
Ники Конфорти (Р)
$23,188 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Casten secured renomination with over 75% in the March 2026 primary and previously won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points in a district covering suburban Cook and DuPage counties. Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who also cleared her primary decisively, faces structural headwinds including lower name recognition and historical Republican underperformance here. Trader consensus at 96% for Casten aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge, unusually strong fundraising or turnout efforts by Conforti, or late-breaking developments could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$43,182Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Casten secured renomination with over 75% in the March 2026 primary and previously won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points in a district covering suburban Cook and DuPage counties. Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who also cleared her primary decisively, faces structural headwinds including lower name recognition and historical Republican underperformance here. Trader consensus at 96% for Casten aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge, unusually strong fundraising or turnout efforts by Conforti, or late-breaking developments could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$43,182Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 6th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in nonpartisan race ratings classifying it as solid or safe Democratic. Casten secured renomination with over 75% in the March 2026 primary and previously won reelection in 2024 by roughly eight points in a district covering suburban Cook and DuPage counties. Republican nominee Niki Conforti, who also cleared her primary decisively, faces structural headwinds including lower name recognition and historical Republican underperformance here. Trader consensus at 96% for Casten aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent shifts. A national Republican surge, unusually strong fundraising or turnout efforts by Conforti, or late-breaking developments could narrow the margin before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы