Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-02
$33,691 Объем
$33,691 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Донна Миллер (Д)
97%
Майкл Ноак (Р)
1%
$33,691 Объем
$33,691 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Донна Миллер (Д)
$14,437 Объем
97%
Майкл Ноак (Р)
$19,254 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$33,691Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,691Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in a March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. in the heavily Democratic open-seat race created by Robin Kelly’s retirement. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring Miller. She has maintained a substantial fundraising edge and local profile as a Cook County commissioner, while Republican nominee Michael Noack advanced unopposed but faces structural barriers in a district that last elected a Republican in 1950. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could alter the current pricing ahead of the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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